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Investor Owned Utilities Hope To Make Big Bucks Buying Wind Farms and Building Transmission Lines

5/23/2018

0 Comments

 
News Flash, right?  Not really.  Investor Owned Utilities (IOUs) are always hoping to make big bucks -- that's what their investors want them to do.  And making a buck for investors trumps serving the public need every time.  Every.Single.Time.  I'm not sure who ever thought it was a good idea to allow entities who peddle a public service, like utilities, to be investor owned, for-profit, monopoly corporations.  It sort of defies common sense, if you think about it too much.  There are plenty of municipal or co-op utilities that operate on a profit neutral basis, of course that just means that they have to give back anything left over, instead of paying a dividend to investors.  It doesn't necessarily rein in their spending to produce lower rates for customers.

IOUs make money owning stuff.  Sure, they make money supplying you with electricity, but they make the big bucks by owning stuff (for your benefit, of course) that you pay off over a long period of time, with interest.  It works almost like a real estate mortgage.  The IOU (and its investors) put up a sum of cash (or credit) to pay for something like an electric generation station, or a transmission line.  You pay them back for that investment over a period of many decades, often at 10% or higher return (or interest) on your unpaid balance.  Your mortgage statement probably tells you exactly how much principal and how much interest you pay each month.  Your electric bill never does.

And here we are, smack dab in the middle of a changing preference for electricity generation.  Gas is cheaper than coal, and much generation has switched in recent years.  New gas plants mean new IOU assets you will pay for.  And then there's the wind hype.  Greenwashing is also brainwashing people to think they can meet all their electric needs with wind power generated... somewhere else (not in MY backyard!).  And Big Wind (yes, that's a proper noun) is in a huge panic to build, build, build before the federal Production and Investment Tax Credits expires at the end of 2019.  Wind turbines generate money as they turn -- .023 for every kwh produced for their first 10 years of operation.  Wow, what a savings, huh?  Except where do tax credits come from?  Where does the money come from?  It comes from YOU, little taxpayer.  It comes right out of your pocket, and many of the companies receiving these generous credits are foreign corporations.

So, with the big wind push, everyone wants to own one of these money mills, or maybe a big, fat new transmission line to be used to move the kwh generated to willing buyers.  Who are the buyers?  They're the utilities that serve customers.  Pretty much no electric customers buy their electricity directly from a wind farm.  Their utility makes the purchase from the wind farm and re-sells the electricity to you.  But an IOU getting all its power via purchase agreements with companies that own the generator isn't getting that big, fat return on owning the generator, a guaranteed income stream for decades.  The same is true of transmission lines... no IOU wants to pay some transmission company (like Clean Line Energy Partners) for service when it can own the transmission line (and the return) itself.  Note to Clean Line:  This is why you failed!  The IOUs may be slow, but they're not exactly dumb when they smell money.  So it's happened that now it's all the rage for IOUs to buy wind farms and build new transmission lines to connect the wind farms with customers.  The IOU makes a return on the cost of the wind farm, the customers cover all the costs to operate the wind farm, and it also makes a big return on any transmission line it owns (and you also pay operating costs for the line).  And if the IOU can get these deals approved fast enough, they can also collect all the tax credits that fall out of the sky when the turbines spin.  Some companies claim that they will use the credits to make the electricity cheaper for customers, and that with the credits, owning the new generator actually makes electric costs cheaper.  Win, win, win!!!

But IOUs, as monopolies, need the permission of regulators (who are supposed to take the place of competition in a monopoly construct) to recover the costs of buying generators and building transmission lines from customers like you.  American Electric Power was the first big IOU to jump into the pool, asking regulators in four different states to approve their plan to buy the nation's biggest wind farm and build a big new transmission line to connect it, and charge the costs of doing so (and their return, of course) to customers.  AEP's execution is faulty.  Not only did they fail to follow utility regulations that require a competitive bidding process for new generator purchases, but they also couldn't show any true need for the transmission line.  New transmission is planned by regional transmission authorities, who determine a reliability, economic, or public policy need for the project, and then assign costs to users of the new line.  A company who doesn't want to go through the regional planning process to determine a need for new transmission usually ends up as a merchant project, where the company assumes the risk and investors shoulder the cost of building it, with revenue recognized through capacity charges billed to those who use the new line.  But AEP didn't want to assume any risk for its investors, so it asked that regulators approve its transmission line without there being any need for it at all (except to connect the new generator it failed to competitively source).  AEP is stuck in the molasses swamp now and it's doubtful they'll be able to pull this off without some under the table and behind closed door deals.  (The cost of which is NOT billable to customers!!)  AEP's idea failed because it was not smartly executed.

Now our second example was planned much better, over a longer period of time, and not the knee-jerk rush to riches steamroll that AEP attempted.  Ameren got regional planning approval to build a new transmission line across northeast Missouri several years ago.  Supposedly it was needed for reliability and to move renewable electricity across the region.  The project nearly tanked on its first run at approval because it stupidly attempted to route it on new right of way across areas without a transmission line.  But, ever resourceful, Ameren finally recognized its problem and went back to the drawing board to re-route its project on existing rights of way.  And it was approved.

Now Ameren says it wants to buy what will be the biggest wind farm in the state of Missouri, and use the new transmission line to connect it to its customers.  Ameren arranged its big wind buy into distinct and manageable pieces.  First, the transmission line.  Then the wind farm.  If Ameren can pull this off, it will be sitting pretty with two new assets that it can earn a return on for decades.  AEP.... take a lesson in strategy and patience, instead of acting like a bull in a china shop.

Of course, it remains to be seen if this wind farm will actually be built and if Ameren will actually end up owning it.  It also remains to be seen how many more large IOUs try to get into this game before the tax credits dry up.  After that happens, Big Wind is dead.
0 Comments

Clean Line Sells Off Another Appendage

5/21/2018

4 Comments

 
"Across the country, we are seeing clear proof of how building new efficient transmission infrastructure provides substantial benefits for consumers, through the delivery of clean renewable energy at rock bottom prices, job creation, and economic development.  We have worked to bring the Western Spirit Transmission Line and the Mesa Canyons Wind Farm to advanced stages of development in New Mexico, and are very pleased that Pattern Development will now take both projects over the finish line," said Michael Skelly, President of Clean Line Energy Partners.
The only "clear proof" here is that there's a fire sale going on down at the old fire house.  Clean Line is selling off its projects to anyone who will buy them.  And why is that?  BECAUSE CLEAN LINE ENERGY PARTNERS HAS FAILED!

And Clean Line's failure is clear proof that long-distance transmission to export wind energy across regions is not marketable.  There are no customers willing to finance such a transmission project.
Picture
First Clean Line sold the Oklahoma portion of its Plains & Eastern project to NextEra.  NextEra was only interested in the Oklahoma portion.  NextEra wasn't interested in the Arkansas and Tennessee portions, maybe because there were no customers to purchase capacity at that end.

Now Clean Line has sold its Western Spirit Clean Line and the leases for its Mesa Canyons wind farm.  That's two of Clean Line's five project proposals.  Are the other three projects for sale?  Probably, but who would buy them?

The Rock Island Clean Line has been made illegal in Iowa, and the Illinois Supreme Court ruled that Clean Line is not a public utility in that state.  It can't be built.

The Grain Belt Express Clean Line has also been declared not a public utility by an Illinois appeals court.  It can't be built in Illinois.  Maybe it's time to chop that project up and try to sell a portion for pennies on the dollar?

And what of the Centennial West Clean Line?  There's no public information available about progress for that project, therefore there obviously is no progress.  Would someone buy it?

With the sale of two of its five projects now, it sure looks like Clean Line Energy Partners is finished.  If Skelly thinks having doors slammed in his face across the country is "clear proof" that his projects are wanted and needed, he's living in a self-delusional fantasy world.
Each RTO has its own system for modeling and evaluating proposed projects, and nothing is more difficult than deciding who should pay what, according to Mike Skelly, founder and president of Clean Line Energy Partners, the one company currently trying to build long-distance transmission lines in the Midwest. He offered up a restaurant analogy.

“If you go out to dinner and everybody orders different dishes, and you’ve got to figure out who’s gonna pay for what, it gets tricky,” he observed. In the inter-regional transmission world, typically a number of utilities and other customers benefit from new transmission capacity, but no one is eager to pick up the tab.

Skelly said the messy business of dividing the bill is one reason Clean Line has structured its two Midwestern long-distance transmission lines in a way that minimizes dealings with RTOs. It has proposed using DC instead of AC current, will take on power at one location and deliver it to two locations.


“We felt like the inter-regional planning processes didn’t work nine years ago, and they don’t work today,” he said.
Clean Line’s Grain Belt Express would ferry wind energy from Kansas to Indiana – and from the SPP to PJM. The Rock Island transmission line would move wind energy from northwest Iowa to the Chicago area – and from the MISO to PJM. Skelly said he knows exactly who would benefit from the project, and who, therefore, would pay for it: usually the wind farms whose electrons are moving to the east.

Except, those people don't want to pay for it.  So, if Skelly went out to dinner and pretended he had forgot to bring his wallet, could he force the other diners to pick up his tab?  I think Skelly would spend a long night washing dishes.  Or trying to sell his projects to other companies.

The rest of the projects aren't marketable in their current state.  I do make significant note that the sales Clean Line has made were to companies who saw their purchase as a strategic, rather than profitable, move.  If NextEra had an Oklahoma transmission route, it could try to compete with AEP's Wind Catcher project.  If Pattern owns its only competition in New Mexico, then it could be more certain of getting its project built.  Is there any strategic value in Rock Island, Grain Belt or Centennial West?  I believe Skelly is hoping so, because there's no other reason to keep spending money trying to prop up these failed projects to appear viable.  One thing is for certain, nobody is buying the failed Clean Line projects with the intent of building them as Clean Line envisioned.  It's more like buying a beanie baby at the thrift store to use as a dog toy.

Until the next sale....
4 Comments

Praying for Profits

4/29/2018

1 Comment

 
"Living on a prayer" is how AEP CEO Nick Akins describes his company's Wind Catcher project.  I will allow you a moment to wallow in 1986 now, when your pimply garage band may have created meaning for the rest of your teenage life.
So, this has been a normal quarter financially, but an outstanding quarter overall from an execution standpoint that sets the tone for 2018 and beyond with several rate case outcomes and settlements regarding Wind Catcher behind us, as Rush's classic rock song, Red Barchetta, which – Red Barchetta is a car, it's a two-seater Italian car – would say it's time to strip away the old debris, fire up the shiny Red Barchetta and respond with a roar. That's what I see in the excitement, the energy of our teams of employees at this company working on projects such as Wind Catcher and other technology advancements that will change the face of AEP's interaction with our customers.
To paraphrase one of the latest Rock and Roll Hall of Fame inductees, Bon Jovi, and I know this phrase will stick with you the rest of the day, we're halfway there, living on a prayer, take our hand and we'll make it, we swear. So, enjoy the ride with American Electric Power. Brian?
Oh, yes, please, Brian, save us from this glory days gibberish, won't you?

Corporate earnings calls are always amusing, but more so for regulated investor owned utilities, where the big executives sing and dance for analysts that they probably wouldn't waste their spit on if they saw them on fire and lying alongside a deserted road in a different scenario.  The executives pretend they're profitable, and the analysts pretend they believe them.  And the ordinary utility ratepayer sees a whole different side of their utility, who ordinarily likes to pretend it's working hard to provide value for customers in a tough regulated context; meanwhile behind customer and regulator backs the utility is bragging to analysts about how profitable it is and how regulators sit up and beg on utility leashes.  The result is pure hilarity.

How about a little reality here, AEP?  The vast majority of questions lobbed by analysts on last week's call were related to Wind Catcher.  I'm sort of left with the thought that the analysts don't expect the project to actually happen.  But no matter the question, Akins had a glorious and positive spin for it.  But what was he really saying?
Greg Gordon - Evercore ISI
Good morning, guys. Several questions for you. I'll try to make them brief. First is congrats on the Wind Catcher settlement in Oklahoma. You have a couple parties on board, but you have many more that have not officially signed on. But can you give us some color around the negotiations there? And what, on the margin, you have conceded to give up in this settlement to give customer protections versus the prior deal? And what it might take to get more parties on board?
Nicholas K. Akins - American Electric Power Co., Inc.
Yeah, Greg. Obviously, a great question. We continue to try to get other parties on board. But as we said from the beginning, it was extremely important to get the industrials on board in Oklahoma. And I think by getting them on board, it certainly sets the predicate for the opportunity for the commissioners themselves to look at this and say, okay, we've got both the industrial customers and Walmart, and the customers have spoken.
Now, there are other parties, as you mentioned. And certainly, we're trying to get the Oklahoma staff engaged in this process and, certainly, the Attorney General – probably not likely to get the Attorney General on board. But others will continue to be open to that, including the Attorney General.
But at this point, though, I think it's framed up pretty well, because a lot of work's been done in the background. Our people have been working tirelessly with all these parties around the various jurisdictions to try to drive some consistency around what the risks were being taken. And a lot of it centered on the 10-year look-backs, the performance guarantees, certainly the force majeure-related provisions as well.
And it really – as we looked at it, and as I mentioned early on in our discussion, you have to – if you're going to do regulated renewables, then certainly we'll have to meet the market on what risks are being taken relative to regulated renewable investments. And we looked at it, looked at it in a lot of detail. We have a lot of, like – as I mentioned earlier, engineering and construction. We looked that in detail, the operational characteristics of particularly the generation tie (22:16), and we've come a long way in terms of the evaluation of those risks.
We were willing to take it, and the industrials were ultimately supportive. So, I think it just sets the tone for continued discussions. But as far as I'm concerned, we've put it in a very good place, and you'll note that those provisions are pretty consistent with the settlements that have been done previously by SPS over in New Mexico and Texas. And we're having discussions with the Texas parties now. So, you're starting to see, in my opinion, a coalition around what risk parameters, what the framework of a deal looks like, and I see that momentum gaining.
The analyst wants to know how AEP plans to get other parties in Oklahoma on board with its quasi-settlement with only two of the numerous parties to the case.  What is AEP giving up to get the other parties to settle, and what are the chances of it actually happening?

Akins thinks having industrial customers on board "sets the predicate for the opportunity..."  In other words, only big corporate customers matter to the commission?  This is hogwash.  Industrial customer coalitions negotiate for their own self-interest, not yours.  Sometimes, industrials negotiate for rate perks that end up being paid by the other customers.  Because they buy so much electricity, they're always looking for sweetheart deals that cut a price break for their companies.  The utility oftentimes makes up the difference with rate increases for the other customers.  Big corporate customers also have big corporate lobbyists who may apply political pressure to get big questionable deals approved by state authorities.  Who's lobbying for all the residential and small business electric customers?  Maybe the Attorney General, who is "probably not likely" to agree.  Or perhaps the staff of the OCC, who maybe could be propped up to look like they represent the other customers.  And what about all this "work" that's been done "in the background?"  Does he mean "work" being done behind closed doors between lobbyists and government officials?  Sure sounds a bit suspicious doesn't it?  Don't bother looking for an answer about risk... it really is the mumbo jumbo nonsense it appears to be.

Bottom line:  We're still working on a settlement in Oklahoma, but we haven't been too successful so far.
Analysts's response:  "Well. Good luck with that."
Then he asks another question about AEP's flagging profits in Oklahoma.  Akins answer is quite revealing about the purpose of Wind Catcher.  If Wind Catcher gets approved, it will correct the Oklahoma rate problem and the profits will be secure for many years.  And who is going to pay for those increased profits?  Electric customers... and taxpayers nationwide who pay for those wind production tax credits AEP is using to supposedly lower electric rates.


Let's try another:
Steve Fleishman - Wolfe Research LLC
So, speaking of living on a prayer, I have a few Wind Catcher question. Sorry. I couldn't help. You asked for that one.
Yeah. Thank you for the Rush references, those are great. So just if I recall back last fall, you had talked about wanting decisions by April to make sure that you would have it online to get the full PTCs.
Is May-June going to be okay to be able to capture full PTCs? Like, what is the real deadline?
Nicholas K. Akins - American Electric Power Co., Inc.
Yeah, we'll be fine. Really, we have to get to a point of getting these orders in place, and then we'll cover it with our board, obviously, in our July meeting. And then once they approve it, we're off and running. So if we get it in that June timeframe, we get the orders in the May to June timeframe, we'll be in good shape.
Last time, Akins claimed he needed approvals in all states by April.  Now, because that hasn't happened, he says May or June would be fine.  If May or June is fine, why wasn't that the original deadline?  If May or June doesn't happen, will a new deadline appear?  Is there even a deadline at all?

And then the analyst again attempts to get a straight answer about risk.  The risk is that AEP will dump too much money into trying to get this project done and be left with nothing but bills if it doesn't get approval, or perhaps AEP will give too much away in settlement and then the project won't be profitable.  Where's the tipping point when AEP will put this project on a shelf?  According to Akin's mumbo jumbo, there is no tipping point.  The rewards will outweigh the risk, because AEP can "adjust."  Oh, I see.  "Adjustment" causes money to fall from the sky... or at least from ratepayer pockets.

Next....
Julien Dumoulin-Smith - Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Got it. Excellent. And then turning back to Wind Catcher real quickly, obviously, you're working every state front. To the extent to which, let's say, Texas and those negotiations aren't necessarily as fruitful here on the prescribed timeline that you just talked about, how confident are you about signing up alternatives like munis and co-ops just to be able to continue working on the project, notwithstanding clarity in Texas, shall we say?
Nicholas K. Akins - American Electric Power Co., Inc.
Julien, I really think we are going to get a result in Texas. And I think it'd be problematic during the pendency of something that's working to go sell somewhere else. So, we're feeling pretty good about the direction this all is taking and the timing of it.
The analyst poses the question of what could happen if AEP can't come up with a settlement in Texas.  Instead of going for approval from the Public Utility Commission to involuntarily charge the cost of Wind Catcher to ratepayers, might AEP instead try to sell Wind Catcher's generation and transmission voluntarily to Texas cities and electric co-ops?  This would use a merchant model in one of the states, something AEP has not considered.  In fact, if AEP were doing this project on a merchant basis, state approvals would be a whole lot easier.  What wouldn't be easier would be coercing electric distributors to shoulder the risk that this project would be cost effective.  That's been a non-starter with other transmission/generation projects and it is unlikely that AEP could sell its project to voluntary customers.  So, of course Akins doesn't want to even talk about that.  He's so sure he'll get approval in Texas he doesn't want to muck up his chances by taking the merchant route.  The reality is that a merchant route in Texas would probably knock the bottom out of rate settlements in the other jurisdictions as well.  Why should ratepayers take a risk when it can be left on AEP's doorstep?  If it can't pawn the risk off onto ratepayers, AEP doesn't want to play this game anymore.
Paul T. Ridzon - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.
Two questions. Is there a statutory deadline in any of the Wind Catcher states, when this has to be done by?
Nicholas K. Akins - American Electric Power Co., Inc.
I don't think there's a statutory deadline, but certainly there's a business deadline. I mean, we've been very transparent about the timing necessary and the procedural schedules have been set up consistent with getting a decision on time. So, I think it's really more driven by, I guess, one of the previous questions sort of brought out, when is our drop-dead date and that kind of thing. But I can just tell you that May and June fits.
The analyst is probing to see if there is a drop dead date on this project, and when AEP is going to cut its losses and give up.  Now it's May and June.  Still no answer to the real question.
Paul T. Ridzon - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.
And then some of the concessions you've made are around cost caps. Who's wearing that risk? Is it you or the contractors?
Nicholas K. Akins - American Electric Power Co., Inc.
Yeah. It's both. We have fixed-price contracts with the appropriate contingencies. And I think that that risk is being shared. And actually, this tells you a little bit about the commitment of the suppliers that we're working with. I mean, these are established suppliers that do a lot of business that we do a lot of business with. And I can guarantee a lot of homework's been done on what these operational provisions will look like, what the construction side will look like, what the supply will look like, what risks are being borne. And also even if route changes were to occur on the generation tie (38:02) that those have been discussed and (38:05) as well. So, we feel very good about where our suppliers sit at this point.
This analyst wants to know who is covering the cost caps on the project if it goes over budget.  Is it the contractors?  Or is it AEP, in which case cost overruns will cut into profits?  The perfect mumbo jumbo answer is that it's both... and neither... and let's not even talk about cost overruns because those will never happen.  Right.

And then other questions started to get a little hard for ol' Nick.  But instead of answering them, he throws a delicious plum into the center of the room and reminds analysts that AEP will be looking for investors for its Wind Catcher project to the tune of $4.5B, and there's a lot of profit potential for good investors who stop asking so many hard questions. 
Nicholas K. Akins - American Electric Power Co., Inc.
Yeah. So, we are in the middle of what I would call an M&A transaction without a premium. It's called the Wind Catcher. And so when we look at the strength of the balance sheet, certainly we'll be looking at the financing needs for Wind Catcher and that's a $4.5 billion transaction. So, that's where our thoughts are at this point.
Nice touch.  But the questions come back...
Ali Agha - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.
Thank you. Good morning. Nick, to clarify, as you're looking at the four states for approval in Wind Catcher, is it fair to say just given where we are that Oklahoma probably is the most challenged of the four? And related to that, could you theoretically complete the project if the other three states say yes and Oklahoma was to say no?
Nicholas K. Akins - American Electric Power Co., Inc.
Yes. So, on the first point, I would agree with you. Oklahoma has been the most challenging. And really, with the ALJ order there, it made even more of a challenge for the commissioners to really take a look at it from a positive standpoint. But I really believe they will at the end of the day and – because they obviously look at much broader issues. And so, with that said, I think as far as Wind Catcher is concerned, we intend on this project being for those four states and certainly the FERC customers. There's some FERC customers too that are involved. And if one were to fall out, we're really – as I said, I mean, I think we're at a good place in terms of the transition of getting this thing across the finish line. And at this point, we really aren't entertaining the notion of going forward with the project without one of the jurisdictions. I really don't see that happening.
The analyst wants to know if Oklahoma is really going to be the problem it appears, and how is AEP going to fix that?  What's the plan if Oklahoma says no?  Is there a Plan B?

There is no Plan B.  If one of the states rejects AEP's plan, they're done.  Of course, AEP once said it needed to get this project approved by April.  Deadlines and decisions have a way of shifting because at some point they'll be too far down the pipe and must come up with a plan to recover their losses.

He sure seems confident that he can finagle this thing to get his way at four different regulatory commissions though, doesn't he?  It's almost like he has some other way to get approval that we're all not seeing.  Is it over confidence?  Or does Nick know something we don't?
Paul Patterson - Glenrock Associates LLC
Just sort of quickly follow up here on Wind Catcher. Why is it that the – what are the key issues, I guess, sort of maybe stopping the OCC staff and others from coming on board?
Nicholas K. Akins - American Electric Power Co., Inc.
Your guess is as good as mine. I think, obviously, the ALJ looked at it from a procedural basis it seemed like to me. But we're pretty convinced we did file under the right provisions under Oklahoma law. But obviously, we'll continue with discussions with certainly the Oklahoma staff. And I think – I really do believe we put provisions in place with the industrials that should benefit that discussion with them. Obviously, to have that kind of company of the customers certainly would help from a policy side and from a staff side to really take a hard look at this. So, the verdict's still out on that and we'll continue those discussions.
Oh yes, those folks in Oklahoma are just silly for not agreeing.  He seems to think that he can use the Oklahoma industrial customers as a stand-in for retail customers who disagree in order to get the OCC staff to acquiesce.  Because, remember, only big corporate customers matter in Oklahoma.  Nobody is fighting for the little guy... supposedly.

And what about the Oklahoma legislature's march toward ending state renewable energy credits?
Paul Patterson - Glenrock Associates LLC
Okay. And then, in Oklahoma, there's this tax issue on Wind. I guess we expect it's intertwined with school funding and there was something that passed the House yesterday. And I was just wondering how would that work with respect to the settlement or with respect to the project, or does it have any impact. Can you give us sort of a sense about that?
Nicholas K. Akins - American Electric Power Co., Inc.
Well, it won't have any impact on the project. And it got poured out of the legislature yesterday. So, we don't see that happening.
Paul Patterson - Glenrock Associates LLC
I mean, I thought it passed the House is what I just saw.
Nicholas K. Akins - American Electric Power Co., Inc.
No.
Paul Patterson - Glenrock Associates LLC
The provision for the tax credit, I thought it was removed. But we can talk about it later. But what you're saying is you don't see any activity on that whatsoever, is what you're...?
Nicholas K. Akins - American Electric Power Co., Inc.
No.
Paul Patterson - Glenrock Associates LLC
Okay. So if something like that did happen, though, since it's been sort of debated and what have you, and the school funding issue, in terms of the settlement, how would that – would that be something that you guys would absorb or would that be something that – how would that be treated if there was subsequently some sort of impact on wind generation in Oklahoma as a result of something that the state legislature may or may not do in the future?
Nicholas K. Akins - American Electric Power Co., Inc.
Yes. So, there is that risk, but not likely. And the state tax credit wasn't assumed in the Wind Catcher economics, to begin with. So if something were to occur, it wouldn't have any effect.
Can Akins be any more clueless?  Deny.  Deny.  Deny.  Oh, wait... that?  Tut, tut, tut, it doesn't affect us.  Is that just like AEP's fungible drop dead date?  AEP seriously would not take a state tax credit it was eligible for, and didn't use that in its desperate cost figures?  Sure, I believe you.

Let's sum this up:  Despite its earlier admission that it must have Wind Catcher approved in four states by April, AEP has now moved its deadline ahead by two months because it's having trouble getting it approved.  If approval isn't achieved by June, there is no Plan B, just perhaps new deadlines.  And maybe some swearing.  And praying.  Lots and lots of praying.
1 Comment

How Do You Go Slower Than Dead Stop?

3/26/2018

2 Comments

 
Your statements to the media about the dead Plains & Eastern project have me questioning your sanity, Clean Line.  There's no way to go slower than dead stop.  Your project is over (and I believe your company is over as a whole) and denying reality isn't going to bring it back.

Clean Line spokeswoman Sarah Bray isn't even a Clean Line employee any longer.  It looks like she's got her own consulting company now.  That's an inventive way to cut company overhead... get rid of people and then hire them back as "consultants" so you don't have to give them benefits and can just pay them for assorted projects now and then.  Such as telling the media stuff like this:
“The project is not dead, but is on a much slower track,” Clean Line Energy spokeswoman Sarah Bray said in an email.
You mean the side track to the dump?  That slower track?  Because this project just doesn't exist anymore.  Let's examine...

The Plains & Eastern Clean Line was supposed to be a 700+ mile transmission project for the purpose of connecting not-yet-built wind generators in western Oklahoma to the TVA system in Memphis, Tennessee.  Last year, Clean Line sold all its Oklahoma assets to NextEra.  That would include any regulatory permits, project engineering, and right of way option agreements with landowners.  So everything in Oklahoma is gone.  No longer under Clean Line's control and not for its use.  The generators Clean Line was going to connect to were all in Oklahoma.  There's nothing to transmit, unless Clean Line customers buy power from some other entity and take delivery in Arkansas.

What does Clean Line still own?  The Arkansas and Tennessee assets.  There is no regulatory approval in Arkansas.  The only thing Clean Line owns in that state is any project engineering and a handful of right of way option agreements with landowners.  In Tennessee, Clean Line owns a regulatory approval from the state based on its former project, including the Oklahoma assets.  It also owns a handful of right of way agreements with landowners and any project engineering. 

Clean Line also owns negotiated rate authority granted by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, again based on its former project that included the Oklahoma assets.

What can Clean Line do with the assets it owns? Pretty much nothing.  They're not worth anything.  Clean Line no longer has queue positions to connect a transmission line in Arkansas or Tennessee.  It owns a plan for a transmission line that no longer exists.  Is Clean Line going to build a transmission line that doesn't connect with any generators in Arkansas and then not connect it with any customers in Tennessee?  And customers are supposed to voluntarily step up and sign contracts for transmission capacity on this power line to nowhere?

Of course not!  Clean Line couldn't even attract any customers when it actually owned the entire project plan.  Now it doesn't even own a complete plan.  And without the U.S. DOE trying to assert its authority in Arkansas, Clean Line no longer has any regulatory assets in the state.  Could Clean Line apply for a permit to build a transmission across the state that doesn't connect with anything?  Sure, they can apply.  But they're not likely to get anywhere since Arkansas enacted Act 842 in 2015.
(b) The commission shall not issue a certificate of public convenience and necessity to any person or corporation that:
(1) Is not a public utility; (2) Primarily transmits electricity; and
(3) Has not been directed or designated to construct an electric transmission facility from a regional transmission organization.



Only someone not connected with reality would attempt to apply for a merchant transmission permit in Arkansas.  Maybe someone whose sanity might be slipping.

Perhaps telling the media that the project is not dead and merely on a "slower track" fooled a few reporters who don't know what's going on.  But even Utility Dive (often not the brightest bulb in the transmission reporting string) smells something disingenuous in Clean Line's claims.
Is Clean Line Energy still developing the Plains & Eastern Clean Line transmission project? The company says yes, despite the fact that selling the Oklahoma assets and ending its plan to build in Arkansas means the Tennessee portion of the line appears to be all that remains on the drawing board.

The Plains & Eastern Clean Line had been under development in Oklahoma for eight years when Clean Line sold it to NextEra. The company said the project has gone through an environmental review with "substantial stakeholder input" and received the regulatory approvals and major environmental permits necessary for construction, but it's unclear how it will move forward without the DOE support. 

That environmental review and "substantial stakeholder input" as well as the "major environmental permits necessary for construction" were all part and parcel of the DOE's participation in the project.  Those things went through the shredder on Friday.  They no longer exist.

Clean Line's choo-choo
Where are you Michael Skelly?  Why are you hiding from the media?  And where's Mario Harturdo, the Plains & Eastern huckster?  Looks like he's now "self-employed" as well.  The circus is over.  Get outta town.
2 Comments

Federal Transmission Permitting Is a Bad Idea

3/7/2018

1 Comment

 
This guy.  Ugh.
The Republican Party’s current infrastructure spending bill is missing one item: a provision establishing federal siting authority for electric transmission lines. Oddly, this idea has few champions in Congress and only tepid support from environmental groups.
That's because its an awful idea that nobody supports.  Congress doesn't support it.  And do you know why that is?  Because states and citizens oppose it.

While natural gas is limited by its geographic sourcing, electricity generation can take place anywhere.  The days of coal mine mouth electric generation plants and long distance transmission lines are over.  It's much more efficient to move fuel to generation plants located closer to load.  And it's much easier to move fuel than it is to build electric transmission lines.

We don't need federal authority for transmission lines.
Problematically, the best locations for wind and solar power plants are far from population centers—in the windy central plains or the sunny southwestern deserts.
That's absolutely not true.  The "best locations" for wind plants are offshore, conveniently located within just a few miles of the largest population centers.  The "best locations" for solar are right on your own roof, where source and sink align to create the most reliable system.
More than ever, consumers want green power.
Also not true.  When consumers were given an opportunity to purchase renewable energy transmission capacity from the Midwest, there were no takers.  Whether it was a matter of price (new transmission will produce a cost to consumers in the billions of dollars), or a matter of favoring local resources, or both, consumers rejected Clean Line Energy Partner's plans for new transmission.  Consumers who say they want "clean" energy in a random survey are never given complete information about how much this "clean" energy is going to cost, and when the rubber hits the road, consumers vote with their wallets.  Any consumer truly dedicated to a "need" for clean power can make it happen at home.  We don't need big utilities and expensive new infrastructure to make it happen.
Conservatives claim that federal transmission siting authority would threaten state sovereignty or landowner property rights, but those claims ring hollow. Why are those values worth protecting against transmission lines but not against natural gas pipelines?
Those claims don't ring hollow to the affected landowners, and those are the only parties who matter in this instance.  Landowners, frankly, don't give a shit if some policy wonk in the big city thinks their legislators' protection of private property rights sounds hypocritical.  Those policy wonks won't be voting in the next local election, but the landowners will.

Why is it that these liberal wind bags demand that you abandon your own beliefs if you don't support theirs?  "Okay, so you're against transmission lines, therefore you must also be concerned about my issue."  No, we're not.  Attempts to reframe the argument to paint opposition as hypocritical serve no one and are just a waste of time.  But while we're on the subject of hypocritical arguments, that's where your environmental groups come in.  They attempt to use landowners to serve their environmental goals by latching onto non-environmental arguments, such as eminent domain.  And then they get caught supporting eminent domain for electric transmission lines, but not for gas lines.  And then the people start to feel used.

Dude, your argument is crap.  Federal permitting and siting for electric transmission has been attempted many times over the years and it has consistently failed.  Elected officials know it can't happen.  That's why they don't support it.

Duh.

Never going to happen.
1 Comment

Pulling Back the Curtain on Protect Our Pocketbooks

3/7/2018

6 Comments

 
Well it's about time you started fighting back, AEP.  Mysterious Wind Catcher hate group Protect our Pocketbooks thinks it can continue to blow smoke up everyone's rear end without revealing its financiers.  Ya know what?  That can't happen.  The credibility of a group spending buckets of dark money in an attempt to derail an energy proposal just can't pass the sniff test.  At some point, the ones responsible for Protect our Pocketbooks are going to be outed.  And how embarrassing is that going to be?

Reporters in Arkansas seem pretty curious about who's funding Protect our Pocketbooks, and a curious reporter is like a dog with a bone.  They don't stop until they find the answer.

Give a listen to this report by NPR's Jacqueline Froelich.  Froelich gets the lobbyist/attorney who incorporated the mysterious group on the air, and he sounds rather peeved when asked who is funding his group.  Justin Allen says, "As a 501(c)4, as it's right to do under state & federal law, supporters and contributors are anonymous and choose to remain that way."

Well, for now.  At some point, Protect our Pocketbooks is going to have to file an IRS-990 (if it really is registered with the IRS like it claims*) and then all bets are off.  What kind of information is revealed in an IRS-990?  Total receipts.  Total expenditures (including who they paid and what for).  Total end of year assets.  Compensation paid to employees.  Names of its Board of Directors or Board of Trustees members, and any compensation received by these parties.  An IRS-990 must be made public.  You can only hide so long, Protect our Pocketbooks.

Now wouldn't it be better to just slink away and hope nobody follows up after you file your taxes?

You know what happens when a person tells a lie?  They have to tell supporting lies, and then lies to support their supporting lies.  Lies upon lies upon lies until even they can't keep their own lies straight.  I love when that happens!

And its not just NPR.  Arkansas Times also wants to know who is funding Protect our Pocketbooks.  Except the author makes some wrong conclusions about whether the organization is "political."
Little is known about the opponents. A  consultant for Renewable Arkansas, a nonprofit offshoot of a group called  Americans for Affordable Energy, has placed an op-ed article recently opposing the SWEPCO project. The author, Grant Tennille, former director of the Arkansas Economic Development Commission, questioned the reliability of the savings estimate and also said it would provide an advantage to SWEPCO in continuing to sell excess electricity from existing coal-fired plants in Arkansas into the open market. Bringing in wind lowers the company's overall cost of power and makes the sales more profitable, he wrote. He has not responded to my email asking about his employer on the issue. He suggests, by the way, that SWEPCO should invest in solar power in Arkansas.
And then the peanut gallery accuses "fossil fuel interests" ... "like the Koch Brothers" of funding Protect our Pocketbooks.

But Justin Allen told Froelich that there's no association between the Windfall Coalition and Protect our Pocketbooks.  Protect our Pocketbooks claims to be for renewable energy and distributed generation.  Distributed generation is roughly defined as many small, local generators located close to electrical load.  Where are a bunch of small, local, renewable generators going to get the kinds of money being spent by Protect our Pocketbooks?  There's a huge amount of money in play here, which means there's a huge amount of money to be made by someone if Wind Catcher fails.  Protect our Pocketbooks own spokesman claims that SWEPCO will continue to generate and sell power from its existing coal-fired power plants.  Sounds like Wind Catcher isn't going to hurt fossil fuel interests, so why would they spend buckets of money on biased TV commercials?  Think about it.

The answer is pretty simple.  I've got a pretty good idea where the money is coming from, but just like Protect our Pocketbooks, I don't have to reveal any information I don't want to.  The only problem with a failure to reveal information is that you may lose the public's trust.  Lose the public's trust and your entire effort to manipulate public opinion falls flat.  Not so much a problem for me, since I don't have a dog in the Wind Catcher fight, but it becomes a huge problem for Protect our Pocketbooks.  Without a gullible public who takes their ads at face value and acts without thinking, Protect our Pocketbooks is a gigantic waste of money.

Which brings us to... AEP, finally attempting to fight back with a news release directed towards the veracity of Protect our Pocketbook's claims and its source of funding.
“A group known only as Protect Our Pocketbooks – which does not reveal the names of its backers or the sources of its substantial funding – is presenting misleading information to the public, including manipulation of statements by Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson,” said Brian Bond, SWEPCO Vice President of External Affairs.

Gov. Hutchinson wrote to the Arkansas Public Service Commission on Jan. 11 asking that the benefits of federal corporate tax cuts be passed on by utilities to Arkansas families and businesses. “In its latest television ad, Protect Our Pocketbooks misleadingly associates the governor’s comments about corporate federal tax cuts with the group’s campaign against Wind Catcher,” Bond said.

“The anonymous, tax-exempt opposition group claims that Arkansas gets none of the benefits of the project, which is incorrect and misleading. Arkansas will receive the benefits of generation with no fuel costs, cost savings immediately and over the life of the project, the full value of the federal Production Tax Credits available to the project, and the economic development benefits of wind turbine components being manufactured in Arkansas,” Bond said.
I was really hoping for the entertainment of a competing front group funded by AEP, but they chose to take the high road this time.  And you can take it from the horse's mouth, AEP knows a fake grassroots support group when it sees one.  It's been responsible for enough of its own over the years.

But at least, for now, they're slapping back, and a huge, public bitch-slapping contest can still be fun for everyone!

And, remember, I'm worse than a reporter.  I never forget.  I'm sort of patient that way.

Carry on!
*The IRS can verify the existence of a tax exempt organization.  As well, "Contributor names and addresses listed on an exempt organization's exemption application are subject to disclosure, however."
6 Comments

"Clean Line Builds..."

2/18/2018

2 Comments

 
...the answer is NOT "transmission lines for wind and solar projects."  I'll spare you the lecture about verb tenses (but you can get it here) but basically there are three verb tenses -- past, present and future.  Clean Line has not built anything, therefore to say it "builds" is incorrect.  Clean Line is not currently "building" a transmission line.  Clean Line has not "built" a transmission line in the past.  Clean Line perhaps hopes it "will build" a transmission line in the future, but I don't think that's likely.  The only thing Clean Line seems to be building anymore is Michael Skelly's ego.

What purpose did the Houston Chronicle article serve?  Was the reporter actually trying to make a point?  That renewable energy isn't "lonely" in Houston?  Michael Skelly may be about as lonely as they come these days.  Nobody seems to care about the transmission lines he hopes to build anymore.  It's all about Michael Skelly, just like it was all about Michael Skelly back in August, when Skelly practiced heroics with his feet on a table during Hurricane Harvey.  And back in 2014, when he showcased his heroism in building a compound of historic homes in one of those terrible "poorer" neighborhoods.  Building -- something that was actually done.  Not something one aspires to in order to pretend it's happening.  Michael Skelly sure has "built" quite the ego.

Skelly likes to pretend that the abandonment of his dream and the sale of a portion of his project to NextEra was a "success."

Michael Skelly, the company's president, told Arkansas Business that the direct-current project, which would have transmitted 4,000 megawatts of renewable energy from Western Oklahoma to eastern Tennessee, is basically on life support.

"Everybody knows that if you can delay a project, you can hurt it or force a different outcome," Skelly said after devoting nearly nine years and some $100 million in private investor money to the project, which would have crossed 12 Arkansas counties with 200-foot-high transmission towers. "We're ending up with an outcome that's just fine for us business-wise, but not as good for Arkansas."
Actually, Arkansas will be just fine without a "clean" line.  The project was never purposed to benefit Arkansans anyhow.  It was about Michael Skelly and his investors making a bundle of money riding the renewable energy wave to sell a bunch of clueless people something they didn't want or need.  Except it turns out they really didn't want or need it, and the project went broke.  Clean Line gladly cannibalized its Plains & Eastern project and sold the juiciest cut to NextEra.  What's left isn't even good for soup.  Not only doesn't Clean Line's Arkansas and Tennessee assets not connect with anything, but the company withdrew their interconnection requests.  There's nothing to interconnect.  Clean Line is over.

As far as that delay thing goes, he's partly right though.  It may have turned out oh so differently for Michael Skelly and Clean Line if they had honestly attempted to engage landowners along the route and find out what would inspire them to sign a voluntary right of way agreement.  Instead, Clean Line acted like an arrogant, entitled, smart ass, figuring it only had to make it look like it was negotiating with landowners, while desperately attempting to acquire the power of eminent domain to force involuntary easements.  Any cost conscious, astute developer would have given up many years ago, however.  Only Michael Skelly continued for 9 years, wasting increasing amounts of funds supplied by his silly investors.  Business-wise, Clean Line is a bust.  I'm thinking they didn't get anywhere near the $100M they spent on Plains & Eastern in the NextEra sale.  Only Skelly's ego is pretending that was a good outcome.  Maybe if he says it enough, money to repay the investors will fall from the sky?  Maybe if he says it enough, he won't be a 50-something year old failure?
So Skelly is pretending he and his company are still viable in order to maintain the old ego.  But what's wrong with Vicki Ayres-Portman?  Did someone forget to send her the memo about Clean Line's sale of its Oklahoma assets, or is she quite insane?  I received numerous copies of this article last week.  It says:
Clean Line Energy spokeswoman Vicki Ayres-Portman explained the impact wind energy has had on local county budgets and what it would mean to be the member of a state that divests in wind energy at Monday's get-together.
Ayres-Portman was taking the place of originally scheduled speaker Mark Yates, Oklahoma director for the Wind Coalition.
“Most of you have probably heard there are two bills running on the floor of the house today that would have a detrimental impact on the future and possibly retroactive on wind development,” she said. “So Mark felt like he really needed to stay at the capitol today and asked if I would stop by on my way to the capitol and give you guys an update on wind energy in Oklahoma.”

What interest does Clean Line have in Oklahoma wind at this point?  Or are they simply a registered lobbying agent for NextEra?  And why was Vicki on her way to the capitol?  Clean Line sold its Oklahoma assets, remember?
Ayres-Portman detailed the well publicized and still working 9-year-old Clean Line project set to run from the Oklahoma Panhandle to Tennessee. The $2.5 billion, 4,000 megawatt project that was set to provide energy to customers in Arkansas, Tennessee and other markets stalled recently. The issues hamstringing the plans come after President Trump began pushing coal and nuclear power options.
"The market has really changed since Clean Line started this effort eight, nine years ago,” Ayres-Portman said. “At that time, the bioenergy centers to the East were really looking forward to more renewables. We had a new President elected. And although I agree with a lot of great things he’s done, one of the things, pushing coal and nuclear has really dampened the power purchase agreements from big utilities that were looking at doing renewables, whether that was natural gas, wind or solar.”
So those companies that had memorandums of understanding to come onto the Clean Line transmission line, have pulled away from those agreement.
Still working?  What the hell does that mean?  How can Clean Line be "still working" in Oklahoma when it doesn't own anything in Oklahoma?  The demise of Clean Line is Trump's fault?  Anything but!  The demise of Clean Line is Clean Line's fault.  It failed to attract any customers. No customers, no revenue, no "builds."  What "companies" had memorandums of understanding to "come onto the Clean Line?"  No company had such an understanding, so there's nothing to "pull away" from.  Clean Line acts like it has some firm commitments that were cancelled after Trump was elected.  That's just not true.  Ayres-Portman looks like she's quite insane in that article.  Maybe she'd like to make some corrections so she doesn't "build" herself a reputation as a fabulist?

Clean Line needs to just go away.  The idea that consumers would pay a premium to import wind energy from far, far away wasn't viable.  And the idea that landowners would welcome a transmission line across their property if it carried "renewable energy" was completely bogus.  Enough time and money has been wasted.  Give the old ego a rest and just go away.  I think you might be on the verge of embarrassing yourself.
2 Comments

Gunfight at the OK Corral

2/11/2018

7 Comments

 
There sure is a lot of money being poured into the battle to own and control the wind in Oklahoma.  If only the citizens of the state received a fraction of what's being spent on legal bills, lobbyists, public relations and front groups.

Say what?  Front groups?  You all know how much I love a good (badly constructed) front group!  I was really trying to ignore AEP's Wind Catcher project, but now their competition has constructed a really ridiculous front group.  It's an accident I simply can't drive by without rubbernecking.

AEP's Wind Catcher project is a ginormous wind farm under construction in Western Oklahoma by Invenergy that will be purchased by AEP upon completion.  AEP wants to build a 300+ mile "generation tie line" to connect the wind farm with one of AEP's large regional substations in eastern Oklahoma, and then distribute the energy to its customers in Oklahoma, Arkansas, Louisiana and Texas.  AEP wants captive ratepayers in those four states to pay for its project, plus a generous return on AEP's investment.  AEP has greased its project and is trying to ram it through state utility commission approvals, pretending it's some kind of tax subsidy emergency.  If states don't approve, their ratepayers lose big tax handouts!  Ahem... where do tax handouts come from?  From taxes.  Who pays taxes?  The people... the same people who would "benefit" from their own tax payments.  Yahoo.  This project is a non-starter and not really worth my time.  While enough schmoozing and behind closed doors hanky-panky may get the project approved in Oklahoma, the other states get nothing but the bill.  Increased electric rates for all.   Wind Catcher isn't going to be happening so there's no need to get all excited, and certainly no need to spend hundreds of thousands of dollars on a front group opposing it.

But somebody did.  Somebody who claims to be
... dedicated to fostering clean energy sources that best serve the needs of local consumers.

Protect our Pocketbooks supports clean energy, but we believe that energy infrastructure investments should be made locally.

Well, hey, great!  I support that, too!  But probably not for the same reasons.  And I don't have enough money to buy a fancy lobbyist-lawyer to incorporate a front group about my belief, and I can't afford TV commercials about it.  But I do have a website, just not as slick, and not designed for you to "take action now!" and lobby lawmakers to support my idea.

So, we support local clean energy sources, do we?  Which ones?  Where?  What are we doing instead of importing energy from Oklahoma?  Doesn't say.  We're all about the Wind Catcher hate and have no better ideas to promote.  Lawmakers love that shit.  No, really.  They love to listen to constituents whine about stuff they don't want without coming up with and supporting better ideas.  You'd think someone spending all this money would have a better grasp of what motivates lawmakers.  I mean they could at least pretend they're for something real.

But if they were actually for something, then they'd reveal who's funding this front group.  Supposedly it's "clean energy."  Would the fossil fuel industry really make a front group claiming to be a supporter of "clean energy?"  That's what all the enviro-wackos who support big wind will think... that the fossil fuel industry must be behind it.   Just like they think the fossil fuel industry pays me big bucks to write this blog (Hey!  Koch Brothers!  You're way, way past due on my payments!  I'm still waiting for the first one to arrive!).  I'm not so sure.  Is it more likely a shady front group would skirt the truth instead of out and out lying?  So what if this front group is being financed by other players in the wind industry who want to stop Wind Catcher so they can develop Oklahoma wind and transmission instead?  There's a huge gold mine for someone who ends up owning the Oklahoma wind.

Here's why I believe "Protect our Pocketbooks, Inc." is a front group.

A front group is described as:
A front group is an organization that purports to represent one agenda while in reality it serves some other party or interest whose sponsorship is hidden or rarely mentioned. The front group is perhaps the most easily recognized use of the third party technique.
  1. This group has no contact info on its website.  It has no physical office.  You cannot contact them.  I suppose you could write to them at PO Box 3835 in Little Rock, which is the principal address for the organization used by its incorporator.  Just don't expect a reply.
  2. This group has a slick, professional website that seems to be directed at inspiring people to "take action."  Political "action."
  3. This group does not mention who funds it.
  4. This group has incorporated as a "non-profit" corporation.
  5. This group does not list its members.
  6. This group does not list its employees, directors or management.
  7. This group was incorporated by someone named Justin T. Allen of Little Rock.  Searching for Justin T. Allen in Little Rock brings up this character.  He works for energy interests?  How very interesting!
  8. This group has videos that people say are TV commercials.  TV commercials?  Do you have any idea how much it costs to advertise on TV?  Who is paying the advertising bills?  Remember, this group has no funders, no members, and no directors.
  9. There's an awful lot of money being spent trying to convince people to oppose the Wind Catcher project.  Someone must stand to make a real bundle if this project fails.  Who could it be?
But at least Wind Catcher has accomplished one thing so far... it knocked the bottom out of Clean Line's Plains & Eastern project.  Here's Clean Line, trying for the last 9 years to build a transmission line between proposed wind farms in western OK and purported eastern "demand."  When along comes AEP, not only building and owning the actual wind farm, but proposing its own transmission line across Oklahoma to serve its own captive "demand."  AEP could have simply built the wind farm and used Clean Line's proposed transmission line to get the wind to its demand.  But it did not.  Whoever owns the infrastructure gets the profits.  AEP isn't splitting its profits with some wanna be utility like Clean Line.  So what happens next?  Clean Line intervenes in the Oklahoma Corporation Commission Wind Catcher case and tries to convince the OCC that its transmission line proposal is better than AEP's.  Then a competitor of Invenergy (AEP's wind farm builder) buys up the Plains & Eastern Clean Line assets in Oklahoma.  NextEra now owns Clean Line's transmission line assets (such as they are -- unconnected nothingness) and it also probably wants to develop wind in western Oklahoma, maybe even build some ginormous wind farm for a company like AEP.  It can offer AEP a half-purchased, right of way across the state, plus the bonus of some pissed off landowners and stubborn Native Americans.  Transmission fatigue is a thing AEP must surely recognize.  Clean Line has spent the last 9 years pissing off the people along its proposed route.  It's a trap! 

Invenergy should watch its back.  Hey, and maybe they can create their own front group?  The only thing more fun than a front group is two or more competing front groups... with TV commercials, and websites!  We are kind of in the winter doldrums now... entertain me, make me laugh!
7 Comments

Who Pays for Corporate Demand?

1/30/2018

5 Comments

 
Some shady sounding organization calling itself the Wind Energy Foundation issued a "report" recently.  The goal of this "report" seems to be to make the hoi polloi believe that "demand" is growing for a "national energy grid."

Huh?

First of all, there is no such thing as a "national energy grid."  In fact, the U.S. has three distinct grid systems that don't really connect, so they're certainly not "national."  Or perhaps they are trying to insinuate that the U.S. electric grid is some federally owned and government financed entity?  That's not true either.  Transmission lines are owned by many different entities, some for profit, and some not for profit, and some by private entities and some by government entities.  The only thing that matters is that the regional transmission operators and balancing authorities keep the lights on in our communities.  And they do, for the most part.

If I were to write a recipe for crashing the three separate and distinct grids, first I'd connect them all together in as many places as I could.  The more connections, the more chances for massive, cascading failure.  Then I'd eliminate all the small, diverse, local power generators and connect my massive "national" grid to just a few massive generators located thousands of miles from electric customers.  It wouldn't take long for such a "national" grid to crash, we're talking massive failure that would take approximately forever to recover.  And that's exactly the kind of system the Wind Energy Foundation's "report" urges us to "demand."

And let's talk about that word, "demand."  The Wind Energy Foundation's "report" says that corporations are "demanding" more renewable energy.  Excuse me, corporate America, who are you to "demand" anything.  If you want renewable energy, then make it yourself.  I'm pretty sure all your giant marts and factories have some pretty large rooftops and parking lots just perfect for installing your own solar farm.  In fact, I demand that you do so.  If you don't want to do that, then I demand that you pack up your corporate bindle and relocate to one of those those horribly rural areas where you think renewable energy comes from so you can obtain it from its source.  You cannot demand that rural America sacrifice itself to become your power plant, much less demand a right of way across thousands of miles of rural America for massive new transmission lines to serve your urban corporate headquarters.

And furthermore, I demand that you pay for your renewable energy demand yourself.  That's right, if you think using renewable energy makes you more attractive to your customers so that they will pay more for your products, then the cost of doing so is on you, not me.

The Wind Energy Foundation's report recommends that corporate America demand that regional transmission organizations order new transmission lines built to serve them.  That's not how RTOs work, you silly twits.  RTOs plan and operate their regional grids first and foremost for reliability, you know, keeping the lights on.  RTOs also plan and operate new lines for economic purposes, presuming that new transmission lowers power prices in the region.  And do you know why that is?  It's because all lines planned and ordered by an RTO are cost allocated to the electric consumers who benefit.  It's called a cost/benefit analysis.  You've heard of that, right, corporate America?  The one who gets the benefits from the new transmission line pays the cost of building and operating it.  So who do you think gets the benefits from all the new renewable energy transmission lines you're demanding?  You do, corporate America, you do!

So, you're willing to pay billions of dollars for all these new transmission lines you're demanding, right?  And then you'll just roll those billions of dollars of expense into your production cost, and increase your prices accordingly, right?  And consumers will jump at the chance to buy your overpriced products produced with "clean energy," right?  Am I talking your language now?

I'm betting that if corporate America had to pay for all these new transmission lines that the Wind Energy Foundation is urging them to demand, all of a sudden renewable energy wouldn't be so important.  It's only worth demanding if someone else is paying for it.

Ya know, wind energy companies are for profit businesses, too.  They rake in the green by brainwashing everyone to be green.  However, there's a limit to the amount of green John Q. Public is willing to pay for.  The Wind Energy Foundation fills its own pockets first by manipulating corporate America like a stage full of marionettes.

"I demand renewable energy!"

"I demand more transmission!"

I demand that the Wind Energy Foundation take its "report" and shove it.  I'm not paying for corporate renewable energy goals.  The most reliable electrical system is local.  Small, diverse, local generators connected to local users. 
5 Comments

Something Suddenly Came Up

12/31/2017

0 Comments

 
AEP seems to think that Mario Harturdo exaggerated the suitability of his Plains and Eastern Clean Line for use in its Wind Catcher project.

Shocker, right?  How could AEP possibly say "no" to Mario Harturdo's shameless groveling and begging for the company to use a worthless, failed transmission idea for their Wind Catcher project?

Just kidding!  I'm sure Mario was kidding, too.  If AEP was smart, it would have offered to buy the Plains and Eastern Clean Line, just to see what was behind Clean Line's ridiculous participation in the Oklahoma Corporation Commission regulatory proceedings for Wind Catcher.  Whoopsie, AEP!  You have to wear the dunce cap!  I mean you didn't really believe Clean Line's testimony, did you?  Have you been smelling your own fake, stilted testimony so long that you no longer recognize the scent?

What fun would it have been to disrupt Clean Line's secret deal with NextEra?  Mario never put THAT in his testimony, did he?

Michael Skelly:  "Ssssorry, NextEra, I'm going to have to cancel our meeting for Saturday night.  Something suddenly came up!"
AEP, big utility on campus, but sadly without a sense of adventure.

What did AEP say about the Plains & Eastern Clean Line in its response to Mario's testimony at the OCC?

It is my understanding based upon public information that Clean Line requested the use of federal powers of eminent domain through an arrangement with the U.S. Department of Energy under Section 1222 of the Energy Policy Act of 2005 for the Plains and Eastern project. This request required the development of an Environmental Impact Statement under  the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) within which the specific purpose and need for the project, siting considerations, and specific environmental impacts for the Plains and Eastern Clean Line project were assessed and considered in order to receive final approval through a Record of Decision for the Plains and Eastern project.

Witness Hurtado has not provided any additional insight or discussion in his responses as to what potential additional permitting requirements and schedule risks may be associated with using a portion of right of way for the Plains and Eastern Clean Line project that was originally acquired for a project that was approved under a different purpose and need, under a different regulatory authority, and potentially, with different permitting requirements.


What?  You don't believe in the power of rainbow farts, AEP?  Don't you know that success in the transmission business is 99% wishful thinking and 1% actual effort?  Just look at how successful Clean Line has been dealing in fantasy and make believe for the past 9 years!  What is wrong with you, AEP?  Oh, the missed opportunities!

And when is Clean Line going to tell the OCC and the other parties that it no longer owns the Oklahoma portion of the Plains & Eastern Clean Line and therefore  no longer has any standing to participate in the case?  And when is NextEra going to file its petition to intervene out of time as the new owner of a project that was granted standing?  Or does NextEra think it has inherited a seat at AEP's settlement table?  And why would NextEra even be interested in the Wind Catcher proceedings any longer?  It now has its very own "fully permitted" transmission project that it can use to ship wind from its own wind farms.  Except it doesn't seem to have any load to serve, or any customers.  NextEra can now play the part of Jan Brady, watching AEP flaunt its huge customer base, and dream of cutting it off...
Oh, what heartbreak caused by greed, deceit and envy, where nothing is as it seems and failure is always lurking just around the next corner....
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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